SoundHound AI
SOUN- Our rating
- Not rated
Only two analysts publish 2026 revenue estimates and none publishes 2028, so the forecasts behind this model are too thin to rate on.
- 12-month target
- —
- Expected vs. S&P 500
- —
- Next earnings
- Nov 5Today
SoundHound's 2027 revenue target is below what it and LivePerson expect to sell this year combined, so even hitting it could mean the merged business is shrinking.
SoundHound sells AI that answers customer calls, takes restaurant orders and runs in cars, and it has grown mostly by buying companies. In September it bought LivePerson, a chat-software firm whose sales are shrinking. Analysts' $390M revenue forecast for 2027 looks like 33% growth, but it sits below the two companies' combined 2026 forecasts, so it assumes the merged business shrinks. The stock, down more than half this year, depends on stopping that decline before cash runs short.
SoundHound sells voice and chat AI that answers customer calls, takes restaurant orders and runs inside cars. After buying its way into call-center software, most of its sales now come from corporate customer service.1,2,6
What it sells
- LivePerson chat software
Messaging tools big brands use to chat with customers. Bought in September 2026; it booked $52.5M of revenue in Q2, before the deal.
- AI agents for companies76% of revenue, Q2 2026 (before LivePerson)
Subscriptions for AI that handles phone calls, chats and orders for banks, insurers, hospitals and restaurants. This is where SoundHound's growth comes from.
- Car and device voice24% of revenue, Q2 2026 (before LivePerson)
Royalties paid by carmakers and TV makers for each product that ships with SoundHound's voice assistant built in.
Who buys it
Banks, insurers, hospitals, telecoms, restaurant chains and carmakers such as Stellantis and Hyundai. Two customers made up a quarter of Q2 revenue, so results swing with big contracts. The U.S. was 59% of revenue, China 14%.
Where you've seen it
The AI that takes orders for some Five Guys, IHOP and Jersey Mike's restaurants, or the SoundHound song-recognition app.
How the business makes money
SoundHound began as a song-recognition app and built voice AI that carmakers and device makers pay royalties to use. To reach big corporate customers faster, management bought its way into customer-service software: Amelia, Interactions in 2025 and LivePerson in September 2026. Each deal added revenue and big corporate customers, but also losses. The plan now is to sell SoundHound's AI agents to those customers and cut the combined costs.
SoundHound earns subscriptions when its AI handles calls, chats and orders, and royalties when its voice assistant ships in a car or TV. Profit depends on selling more AI to the customers it bought.1,2,3,5,7,9,17
- 1 · EntryBuy customersAcquisitions bring big customers cheaply. LivePerson cost $43M in stock plus retiring its debt, and brought hundreds of clients, many signed for over a decade.
- 2 · UpsellCross-sell agentsSoundHound then sells those customers its OASYS AI agents, which handle voice and chat requests without a human.
- 3 · DemandUsageCustomers pay by subscription or by interaction, so revenue rises as more calls, chats and orders move to AI.
- 4 · MarginGross marginRunning more work on its own software lifts gross margin, the share of sales left after hosting and service costs.
- 5 · Cost cutCombined costsMerging two companies' staff and systems lowers operating costs, shrinking the loss on each dollar of sales.
- 6 · PayoffSelf-fundingOnce cash flow turns positive, SoundHound stops selling shares, and revenue growth finally shows up per share.
Advantages
A ready-made base of big customers
Major advantageMatters most for the next two years. With LivePerson, SoundHound says it now counts 12 of the 15 largest global banks and 4 of the 5 largest airlines as customers. Selling AI agents to companies already under contract is cheaper and faster than winning new ones.5,7,17
Voice AI it built itself
Strong advantageA real edge in cars and restaurants, less so in call centers. SoundHound owns its speech and language technology, backed by over 750 patents, so it does not pay another AI company for every conversation. Stellantis, Hyundai and Kia ship it in their cars.1,5,10
Voice ordering for restaurants
SupportingHelpful but small. Chains such as Five Guys, IHOP and Jersey Mike's use SoundHound to take orders, and one pizza brand runs it in over 75% of its locations. These deals are numerous but individually modest.1
What's changing
From buying growth to proving it
The LivePerson deal closed on September 4, and LivePerson's finance chief, John Collins, became SoundHound's CFO. Management will reset its 2026 forecast to include LivePerson at the next report. The stock is down more than half this year as investors pay far less for each dollar of sales amid continued losses, cash burn and new deal shares.1,4,5,9,10
Competitors
Who else an investor would consider, and how they compare.
| Company | Market value | What it does | Compared with SoundHound AI |
|---|---|---|---|
| SoundHound AIthis stock | $1.85B | SoundHound sells voice and chat AI that answers customer calls, takes restaurant orders and runs inside cars. After buying its way into call-center software, most of its sales now come from corporate customer service. | |
| CerenceCRNC | — | Voice assistants built into cars, sold to carmakers worldwide. | Cerence earns cash from car voice; SoundHound still burns cash.12 |
| Sierra (private)private | — | AI customer-service agents for large companies, built from scratch on new AI models. | Sierra wins new customers with AI agents; SoundHound bought customers and must convert them.13 |
| Five9FIVN | — | Cloud call-center software that runs companies' human and AI agents. | Five9 owns the call-center plumbing; SoundHound sells the AI riding on it. |
| Google CloudGOOGL | $3.88T | Gemini-based customer-service agents sold alongside Google's cloud computing. | Google can bundle AI agents with its cloud; SoundHound must win as a specialist. |
Bull vs. bear: two bets on the same stock
- 1
A share is a small slice of the company. Its value comes from the profits the company will make in the future.
- 2
Nobody knows those profits yet. Buyers (bulls) pay today's price betting they'll beat what most people expect. Sellers (bears) bet they'll fall short.
- 3
When results come in, the price moves toward whichever side was right, and that side makes money.
Can SoundHound stop LivePerson's sales from shrinking and reach profit before it has to sell more shares to cover losses?1,3,4,5,6,7,8,17,18,20
If LivePerson's customers start buying SoundHound's AI agents, LivePerson's decline slows, 2027 revenue lands well above the $390M analysts expect, and losses keep shrinking.
- Losses are shrinking. The adjusted EBITDA loss (operating loss before depreciation, amortization and stock pay) narrowed to $9.6M last quarter from $14.3M a year earlier.
- LivePerson brings big customers to sell to. The combined company serves 25 of the Fortune 100, and management targets over $500M of future revenue from existing customers alone.
- There is no debt to service. SoundHound paid off LivePerson's secured lenders mostly in stock at closing, so no interest payments drain cash.
- The new CFO has cut cash burn before. SoundHound says John Collins took LivePerson from over $100M of yearly burn to positive free cash flow (cash left after spending).
If LivePerson keeps shrinking and SoundHound's own sales stay lumpy, losses continue, and deal shares plus future stock sales keep pressing on the price.
- The deal created shares that can be sold. LivePerson's former lenders received about 37M SoundHound shares, and SoundHound registered them for resale.
- SoundHound's own sales jump around. First-quarter revenue fell from the prior quarter, and two customers made up a quarter of second-quarter revenue.
- Losses are still large. The GAAP net loss was $42.8M last quarter, about 69 cents for every dollar of revenue.
- LivePerson is shrinking faster this year. Revenue fell 12% from a year earlier last quarter, but its 2026 forecast called for a 15% to 20% drop.
What to watch
The numbers that will settle the debate.
What would prove this wrong
- ✕LivePerson's quarterly revenue stops falling within a year.
- ✕Combined quarterly revenue stays above $110M through 2027, well above the target's pace.
- ✕Adjusted EBITDA turns positive in 2027 without new share sales.
- ✕SoundHound raises its 2027 target above the two companies' combined 2026 forecasts.
Only two analysts publish 2026 revenue estimates and none publishes 2028, so the forecasts behind this model are too thin to rate on.
The math behind the recommendation
Three 12-month price scenarios, weighted by probability, compared with the S&P 500 under the same method.
LivePerson customers adopt SoundHound's AI agents, LivePerson's decline slows, and 2027 sales approach the top analyst estimate near $424M while losses keep narrowing.
$0.91 sales per share × 6.2 = $5.69
2027 revenue lands near the $390M consensus, below the two companies' combined 2026 pace, as LivePerson keeps shrinking; cash covers losses without large share sales.
$0.87 sales per share × 5.7 = $4.96
LivePerson shrinks faster, SoundHound's large deals slip, revenue lands near the $374M low estimate, and resold deal shares keep the valuation near its lows.
$0.86 sales per share × 4.2 = $3.59
Why these odds: No source publishes 2028 revenue, so we grew 2027's $390M by 12%, the two companies' latest combined growth. 2027 loss forecasts improved this month, and SoundHound beat in four of five quarters. LivePerson's decline keeps bear odds high. Estimated cash near $240M covers burn, so no extra shares.
How the prices are built: Wall Street expects sales per share of $0.87 for the year starting a year from now (analysts range from $0.84 to $0.95). Today the stock trades at 4.9 times next year's sales per share; its five-year middle is 15.4.1,2,4,6,14,15,16,17,18,19,20
What tests the call: Q3 2026 earnings, the first forecast including LivePerson (Nov 5)
Buy means expected to beat the S&P 500 by 10+ points over 12 months; Sell means expected to trail it by 10+. Inputs gathered Oct 28; the recommendation updates with the price every day. Model-generated, not personalized investment advice. How ratings work · Track record
At $4.09, SoundHound AI is cheaper than usual against its own sales
SoundHound AI trades at 4.9 times the sales analysts expect over the next 12 months. That ratio is the multiple: what investors pay today for each dollar of a year's sales. That is cheaper than it has been 80% of the time over the past five years, when the middle was 15.
Analysts expect sales to grow about 5% the year after.
- SoundHound AI multiple
- 4.9×
- Its usual multiple
- 15×
- Base case
- +21%
- Bear case
- −12%
Price over the next 12 months' expected sales.
The middle of the past five years.
Our most likely 12-month outcome from $4.09.
Bull case +39%.
The skewOur bear case loses about 57¢ for every $1 our base case makes. That ratio, how much you stand to lose against how much you stand to make, is the skew.
Last earnings
Q2 2026 results, reported Aug 5
Revenue hit a record, the loss narrowed sharply, and SoundHound raised the bottom of its 2026 revenue forecast.1,2,10,11
| Reported Aug 5 | Expected | Actual | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings per share | -$0.06 | -$0.02 | +66.7% |
| Revenue | — | — | — |
Stock reaction: Up about 10% the next day
Why the stock moved
- Up: revenue beat expectations by about $9.5M, or 18%.
- Up: the adjusted loss per share was 2 cents, far smaller than forecast.
- Up: management raised the low end of its 2026 revenue forecast to $230M from $225M.
- Caution: about $7.6M came from customers billed in Colombia, up from almost nothing, and may not repeat.
What it means for the stock: Strengthened SoundHound's own growth story, but the LivePerson deal closed a month later and now dominates the debate over growth and dilution.
Limits of this analysis
Claims that rest on thin or conflicting sources, estimates that had to be extended, and judgment calls.
- ?Management's 2027 target is 'at minimum, $350M-$400M,' set in April. The combined 2026 forecasts ($425M to $467M) add each company's own pre-deal guidance; neither has published a combined 2026 figure.
- ?The 2027 estimates may mix vintages: analysts expect $110M in the fourth quarter but only $390M for 2027. Some may not yet include LivePerson fully, so the shrinkage they imply may be stale.
- ?No source publishes 2028 revenue, so we grew 2027 by 12%, the two companies' combined growth last quarter (our math). That rate includes the Interactions purchase, so it may be generous.
- ?Cash of about $240M at September 30 is our estimate from June balances, deal payments and recent burn. The third-quarter report on November 5 will give the real figure.
- ?Valuation history uses revenue reported in the following four quarters and covers only about four years since the 2022 listing, mostly before LivePerson's slower sales were added.
Sources
Written Oct 28. Numbers link to these sources.
- 1SoundHound AI Reports Record Q2 and All Time High Revenue of $61.9 Million, Up 45%, Raises Full Year Outlook (Form 8-K, Exhibit 99.1) · SoundHound AI / SEC, 2026-08-05
- 2SoundHound AI Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2026 · SoundHound AI / SEC, 2026-08-10
- 3SoundHound AI Q1 2026 results (Form 8-K, Exhibit 99.1) · SoundHound AI / SEC, 2026-05-07
- 4SoundHound AI Form 8-K: completion of LivePerson acquisition and notes restructuring · SoundHound AI / SEC, 2026-09-04
- 5SoundHound AI Completes Acquisition of LivePerson (press release, Exhibit 99.1) · SoundHound AI / SEC, 2026-09-04
- 6LivePerson Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2026 · LivePerson / SEC, 2026-08-07
- 7SoundHound AI buys LivePerson for $43 million, builds enterprise customer base · Constellation Research, 2026-04-21
- 8Risky integration, rewarding returns: the stakes of SoundHound's LivePerson deal · The Motley Fool, 2026-05-16
- 9What Just Happened To SoundHound AI Stock? · Trefis, 2026-10-20
- 10SoundHound AI (NASDAQ:SOUN) Stock Falls 7.2% - Here's What Happened · MarketBeat, 2026-10-14
- 11SoundHound AI Crushed Q2 Estimates. Should You Buy SOUN Stock Now? · TipRanks, 2026-08-06
- 12Cerence AI Delivers Strong Q2 FY26 Results with Revenue Above Guidance · Cerence Investor Relations, 2026-05
- 13Sierra AI funding round: $950 million at a $15.8 billion valuation · Quartz, 2026-05-04
- 14SoundHound AI (SOUN) Analyst Estimates · Yahoo Finance, 2026-10-28
- 15SoundHound AI (SOUN) Stock Forecast and Price Target · StockAnalysis, 2026-10-28
- 16SoundHound AI XBRL company facts (quarterly revenue and share counts) · SEC EDGAR, 2026-10-28
- 17SoundHound AI To Acquire LivePerson (joint press release, Exhibit 99.1) · SoundHound AI / SEC, 2026-04-21
- 18LivePerson fourth quarter and full year 2025 results, with 2026 guidance (Exhibit 99.1) · LivePerson / SEC, 2026-03-12
- 19LivePerson definitive merger proxy (DEFM14A), management projections · LivePerson / SEC, 2026-07-09
- 20SoundHound AI prospectus supplement: resale of 36,894,839 shares (424B7) · SoundHound AI / SEC, 2026-09-04